A new social contract is formed after the social contract is broken in the prediction market.

So a new social contract needs to be signed.

(Maybe it goes through the new exchange style A once before it gets to the new exchange style B.)

context

digital democracy

Is Audrey Tan-like viable?

prediction market

Ideal market to be able to buy and act on

Shares held by the minister are not disclosed.

No obligation to disclose personal financial assets

Can't the BOJ take a position in the first place?

What if we could have it?

Assassination and Forecast Markets

Assassination makes the world go round.

Bet that person X will be assassinated by the time limit.

If you pile funds on the side that is not being done, you can provide an unspecified number of people with an incentive to assassinate you.

You can request an assassination for a contingency fee by anonymously taking a position in the prediction market and the assassin anonymously taking a counter position without having to "ask the hit man."

Anonymity is maintained for both parties.

I thought celebrities were usually killed.

You can reduce the incentive to kill by taking the position of the person being killed yourself.

To kill or not to kill is determined by a vote of confidence with money as the vote.

Politicians without money get killed.

Fans take the position of the one whose guess is killed so that their guess is not killed.

After all, politicians are usually killed.

There is a type of player who prefers to have fluctuations, irrespective of ideology.

But it's a bit of an economic rationale, because people who prefer to have fluctuations have to bet on the absence of fluctuations in order to cause fluctuations, so it's a bit of an economic rationale.

I think it's more likely that activists with strong political ideas and money will "kill the box" rather than "box" the opposing politician.

This situation creates a strong negative incentive to be a politician.

That's where a new mechanism is needed.

Just as our taxpayers' money deters murder by hiring the police to come and get you when you murder, so does the deterrent effect of murder.

Transaction fees will need to create incentives to deter assassination.

This can only occur once the assassination deterrent is destroyed.

Once destroyed, only those who can defend themselves militarily can become politicians, and then the trend is to introduce a new deterrence system because they don't want to be assassinated.

→A new social contract is formed after the social contract is broken in the prediction market.

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